A PHOTO FINISH FOR 2007 OSCARS

A PHOTO FINISH FOR 2007 OSCARS

 What an odd year it is for the Academy Awards — steeped in sure-things and complete mysteries.  While most years at the Oscars have a handful of hot races to watch, this year, there are relatively few top categories up for grabs.  But the ones that are still being contested — namely Best Director and Best Picture — are the most watched and coveted of them all, meaning this year’s ceremony could be divided into two halves: one incredibly boring, and one of the most exciting in recent memory.

No question there’re favorites in the field — particularly Helen Mirren, for her performance in The Queen, and Forest Whitaker for his stunning turn in The Last King of Scotland — but few people are placing firm bets on the wide-open Best Picture category, and while many would certainly like Martin Scorsese to bring home the gold as Best Director, the tide could quickly turn.

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All this aside, there are some other dramas worth paying attention to as well this weekend — a more-modern-than-usual Costume Design category, an Original Song category featuring three (yes, three) Dreamgirls numbers, a documentary race that might bring Al Gore onto the Oscar stage, and two Best Screenplay categories that may shed light early on about what the Best Picture voters are thinking.

But it will be the night’s last ten minutes that shall stand as the most exciting, as the world will hold its breath to see which of the five Best Picture nominees (Babel, The Departed, Letters from Iwo Jima, Little Miss Sunshine, and The Queen) will manage to take home the night’s top honor.

Here’s my guide to the Top 11 categories—the categories most worth watching—and who is likely to reign supreme Sunday night:

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BEST PICTURE

Will win: Little Miss Sunshine

Should win: Letters from Iwo Jima

BEST DIRECTOR

Will win: Martin Scorsese, The Departed

Should win: Scorsese

BEST ACTOR

Will win: Forest Whitaker, The Last King of Scotland

Should win: Peter O’Toole, Venus

BEST ACTRESS

Will win: Helen Mirren, The Queen

Should win: Mirren

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Will win: Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls

Should win: Murphy

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Will win: Jennifer Hudson, Dreamgirls

Should win: Hudson

BEST ANIMATED FILM

Will win: Cars

Should win: Monster House

BEST FOREIGN FILM

Will win: Pan’s Labyrinth

Should win: Pan’s Labyrinth

BEST DOCUMENTARY

Will win: An Inconvenient Truth

Should win: Deliver Us From Evil

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Will win: Little Miss Sunshine

Should win: Letters from Iwo Jima

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Will win: The Departed

Should win The Departed

Ellen Degeneres hosts the 79th Academy Awards on Sunday, February 25th at 5pm on ABC.  See how Steven Snyder tallies up, next week in his Academy Awards, wrap-up.    

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